Thursday, March 17, 2016

An observation on Graham's Support for Cruz

Have you noticed that Graham only supported Ted Cruz after it was too late for Cruz to garner enough delegates to clinch the nomination? Only a miracle would have to happen for Cruz to get the nomination outright. If he thinks he'll get support from the establishment at a brokered convention, he's sadly mistaken. The only reason they support him now is because he can prevent Trump from clinching the nomination, nothing more, nothing less. Once he fulfills his role as spoiler, he'll lose the establishment support and be left out in the cold.

Cruz cannot win the nomination by delegates alone barring a miracle.
Cruz will not get the establishment support at a brokered convention.
The establishment will take control at a brokered convention and both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz will be left out in the cold.
John Kasich only plays the spoiler at this point. What will be his reward from the establishment? I don't see the keys to the White House being handed to him. Maybe a VP nod instead?  Maybe a cabinet post?
I fully expect to see Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, or Lindsey Graham steal the nomination at the convention.
The Republican Party will split and revolt.
If Trump does garner enough delegates to win the nomination, the establishment will sabotage intentionally to lose the election.
Look to what happened to Jessie Ventura in Minnesota many years ago as an example of a Trump presidency. He will face heat from both left and right.
If anyone can bring change to the Republican Party, it will be with Donald Trump because they cannot freeze him out financially, and he is superior at manipulating the media.
Trump will either change the party or the party will split in half.

Why Cruz Won’t Be President in 2016

Today, there’s news that the GOP Elite have met and discussed stopping Trump at all costs. Even Lindsey Graham came out today stating that he’s going to do everything in his power to help Ted Cruz. This is the same man who just a short time ago stated that choosing between Trump or Cruz is like choosing between being shot or poisoned. Don’t think that Graham has changed him mind on that. He hasn’t. In fact, he knows that helping Cruz now won’t do anything to help Cruz become president. All it will do at this point is ensure a brokered convention.

At this point in the game, the only real way for Ted Cruz to garner the needed delegates to clinch the nomination is for Donald Trump to leave the picture. Barring something tragic, it just isn’t going to happen. Trump is here to stay. Barring an absolute miracle of all miracles, Cruz will not be able to reach the magic number. Kasich couldn’t catch it even if Cruz and Trump both left the race today.

What this means is that the push that we’re going to see behind Cruz will be nothing more than an attempt at a brokered convention, one in which Cruz will be shut out. It’s coming down to the “prisoner’s dilemma” at this point.  Cruz cannot win. Trump has a hard time winning. Do they work together? In order to do so, Trump would have to offer Cruz something big in order to ensure his exit from the race. If Cruz stays in, not only does he run the risk of Trump not getting enough delegates, he ensures he receives nothing more than a pat on the back while the Republican Elite install their own pick, flush with cash and without any damage from the primary process. Both Trump and Cruz will stand there battered and a little more broke than when they started.

Kasich on the other hand is a darling of the GOP Elite. I don’t know what he’s been promised, but I doubt he’ll get the presidency. He’s just a tool for the Elite as well. He may very well get a VP nod, or a cabinet position, but they won’t hand him the keys to the White House.

At this point, it is imperative for Trump and Cruz to make a Reagan and Bush style team. Cruz may not like being VP, but it’s better than he’ll get if he stays in. If he thinks that the backing of the GOP Elite means that the Elite are behind him in the traditional sense, he’s sadly mistaken. The Elite despise Cruz too, and the only way they can avoid an anti-establishment candidate at this point is to back Cruz and force brokered convention. The question is, does Cruz understand this? I’m sure Trump does. Kasich is a willing tool.

 

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

"Life Truths" according to me.

- We all make time for our priorities.

- The older that I get, the younger everybody else gets.

- Those who crave power, seek it.

- All respect is based upon fear; either good fear or bad fear. When you have no fear of someone, you have no respect for them. For instance, in good fear, you may be afraid to hurt someone's feelings or you may be afraid of having that person think less of you. In bad fear, you are afraid for your safety or the safety of those who you love. So you see, all respect is based upon fear in one form or another.

- Freedom of speech can be a very powerful tool, especially when used to whip the uneducated masses into hysteria.

- You cannot fix a problem that you cannot properly identify.

-Eric E. Durnan

note: These are facts that I have came to embrace as I have lived life. These sayings are mine, not those that I have heard.